China has been too much football to fans in China, the pain, the happiness created by one of the few, even though not from a poor performance in race and experience the real happiness. Every time the Chinese football defeat, the Chinese Football Association will become a vocal opposition of the object, seemed to be Persimmon is not necessarily who can pinch, or even thinking about how to squeeze all, the Wuhan Optical Valley Super League club to quit is the vivid case ended.
Beijing Guoan Wuhan Optical Valley team and I did not watch the game, through the news informed, Wuhan Optical Valley Super Club is the process of withdrawal: the September 28, 2008 the 18th round of Super League and the Wuhan Optical Valley team Beijing Guoan home game in the 93rd minute, Wuhan Optical Valley team player Li Weifeng and Beijing Guoan Players Lujiang conflict was the referee of the fight fifty large plate to end the score was fixed in 1:1. After the game, Li Weifeng, and Lu Jiang additional punishment by the Chinese Football Association, were suspended for eight games, Wuhan Optical Valley team on the penalty proposed objection required mitigation Football Association, Football Association was refused, so Wuhan Optical Valley team to retire in the form of dissatisfaction, and Football Association not only did not give way, but the club want to face severe punishment, Wuhan Optics Valley.
I can not award the Chinese Football Association and the Wuhan Optical Valley club who is right, just want to say, from the perspective of game theory, Wuhan Optical Valley Club Exit Super is not rational, or too hasty.
the so-called game theory, game theory, is an individual or organization, faced with certain environmental conditions, in a certain rule-bound, relying on the available information, from the behavior of their choice or to choose and implement strategies and obtain the corresponding results or from their own income the process of game theory in economics is a very important theoretical concepts.
game elements
(1) the players: in a contest or game, each participant in decision-making power in a Board people. Only two players in the game is called Board game, each player has selected a complete practical program of action, that the program is not a stage of the action, but of the entire operation of a program, one the players throughout the whole of a viable planning a program of action, known as the the players a strategy. If the players in a game are a total of a finite number of strategies, is called br> (3) to win: the outcome of a Board Game called the win when the result. each player at the end game in a row to win, not only with the Council's own choice of strategy for the human, but also to global human The strategy of taking on a group set. Therefore, a Board game each player at the end of the .
Wuhan Optical Valley Club requires reduced punishment, the Chinese Football Association give a clear answer, both sides need to engage in a game. Wuhan Optical Valley Club and the Chinese Football Association is no doubt that the players in the game. Evidence from optic Valley Club has two alternative strategies, namely (1) requires reduced punishment, (2) does not require reduced punishment; the Chinese Football Association also has two alternative strategies, namely (1) agreed to reduce the punishment, (2) do not agree to reduce the punishment.
Although we can not get Player of the gains and losses clearly values, but qualitative analysis is possible.
to the Chinese Football Association, we can win their conduct in the game matrix order. from the matrix point of view, g is the Chinese Football Association to win the most, because the Wuhan Optical Valley Club does not require a penalty reduction, the Chinese Football Association to consider whether there will be no less punishment bothering; e is winning the second largest of the Chinese Football Association, despite the Evidence from optic Valley Club requires less fine, but do not agree with the Chinese Football Association, so you can wake-up call to other clubs mm encountered a similar case, do not consider the penalty reduction, which bothering only this one, there will be no more; a Chinese Football Association to win the smallest, because once asked by a fine club Wuhan Optical Valley consent to the equivalent of spoke up son, who encountered a similar case, will also be forced to agree to less punishment, and thus constantly bothering; c is the second smallest of the Chinese Football Association won , although not required by Wuhan Optical Valley club fine, but the decision was made by fine, after a similar case, we must make the same decision, or face protests by the parties, will continue to come bothering with a phase than voluntary forced to make decisions than the decision to their advantage, so more than a. From this, the Chinese Football Association in order to win the game is:
g> e> c> a
on the Wuhan Optical Valley Club, we can win its game matrix in the sort. from the matrix point of view, d is the greatest club win the Wuhan Optical Valley, Wuhan Optical Valley of the club because no effort to obtain the the result of reduced punishment; b Wuhan Optical Valley club's second largest win, despite the effort, but still the results obtained by fine; f is the smallest club to win in Wuhan Optical Valley, because even hard, and no punishment is cut results; h is the Wuhan Optical Valley Club Small win, because the club did not work in Wuhan Optics Valley, there is no chance to get less punishment, relative to f, saving at least an effort to pay. Seen in this light, Wuhan Optical Valley Club game winning sequence is:
d> b> h> f
sum up, the Chinese Football Association, g> c, e> a, do not agree to less punishment is a dominant strategy, which also No wonder alternative strategy is to (1) exit, (2) does not exit; the Chinese Football Association's alternative strategy is to (1) retention, (2) does not stay. But for the Chinese Football Association, once asked to stay, will once again put themselves back to the first round of the game, which did not retain the Football Association, but the club out of the Wuhan Optical Valley, said a little sorry!
this experience to explain a team unjust punishment, punishment can only bow to recognize it? is not a matter of fact, this depends on the consequences of the punishment. Once the punishment affects the order of arrangements of football, the Super League threat to life and death, the Chinese Football Association has won the order will change, thereby changing the penalty or the Chinese Football Association, or will have on the Chinese Football Association Super League reform, even reform the system of Chinese football. and the current, Wuhan Optical Valley club out of the Super relatively limited, when the Wuhan Optical Valley Club to withdraw from the joint a lot of Super League club when the compromise will be China Football, of course, this may not be everyone wants to see.
we can say that the Chinese Football Association or Football system has problems, but we must face up to his presence.
spoke yesterday morning of Game Theory Microeconomics , originally wanted to make some class summary, but better through case studies to better understand the theory, whether right or wrong, please correct me. is to sum up.
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